1. If UPA withdraws support and BJP-NDA continue to oppose the Indo-American Nuclear power 123 Agreement, the Govt. will collapse and there will have to be elections. If there is going to be a triangular fight among the Left - Congress led UPA - BJP-led-NDA, Congress may retain its position. Except in one or two States like A.P., Congress is not a ruling party. People's discontent and ire will be against their incumbent State Governments and it may work in favour of Congress. In West Bengal and Kerala, left cannot expect complete success in every outing. In Andhra Pradesh, though CPI and CPM made some waves through their Land-movement (Bhuu Pooraat`am), the momentum will not be sufficient to guarantee election victories. Hence the gain for Communists will only be marginal.
2. BJP's position is not pleasant. There are internal bickerings.
Mr A.B. Vajpayee and L.K. Advani were very friendly with the US President George Bush. They may even receive secret telephone calls or emissaries from US, not to be too stiff on the Indo-US Nuclear Agreement.
We can even surmise that had NDA been in power, they would have entered into a similar agreement with US, whosoever was the PM from BJP and the Congress would have made a hue and cry. In this respect the behavior of political parties in Pakistan, Bangla Desh, Sri Lanka and India will be similar -- It is just criticise the party in power.
If the BJP decides to go slow, the present Government may last upto 2009. This will give breathing time to BJP to set its house in order. All the four fronts in the country UPA, NDA, Third Front, Fourth Front know that Indians will not vote on the basis of Indo-US Nuclear agreement. Proof for this we can see in all the three Fronts proposing Muslim candidates for Vice-Presidents. The parties have some blind-beliefs to believe on which side their bread loaves are buttered.
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